Description

This analysis provides a forecast of WOO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.037407 0.046591 0.057279 0.070589 0.086672 0.105424 0.128892
2025-08-31 0.023038 0.033417 0.047206 0.066680 0.093254 0.127992 0.176535
2025-09-07 0.016995 0.027638 0.043239 0.067379 0.103297 0.154152 0.230807
2025-09-14 0.012663 0.022742 0.038813 0.065677 0.108633 0.173563 0.277622
2025-09-21 0.009689 0.019037 0.035112 0.063884 0.112874 0.191222 0.323531
2025-09-28 0.007626 0.016283 0.032236 0.062611 0.117321 0.209294 0.371908
2025-10-05 0.006828 0.015646 0.032874 0.067411 0.132573 0.246688 0.456107
2025-10-12 0.005940 0.014582 0.032448 0.070083 0.144291 0.279351 0.536014
2025-10-19 0.004943 0.013013 0.030670 0.069740 0.150206 0.302281 0.601258
2025-10-26 0.004153 0.011695 0.029118 0.069515 0.156188 0.325864 0.670123
2025-11-02 0.003485 0.010485 0.027534 0.068889 0.161169 0.347977 0.738464
2025-11-09 0.002803 0.009037 0.025080 0.065846 0.160526 0.358815 0.785954
2025-11-16 0.002146 0.007522 0.022299 0.061978 0.158583 0.369092 0.838664
2025-11-23 0.001638 0.006265 0.019871 0.058512 0.157164 0.380821 0.897306
2025-11-30 0.001378 0.005685 0.019115 0.059133 0.165504 0.414856 1.007643
2025-12-07 0.001107 0.004950 0.017695 0.057623 0.168270 0.436693 1.094009
2025-12-14 0.000889 0.004310 0.016365 0.056032 0.170497 0.457523 1.180670
2025-12-21 0.000724 0.003796 0.015283 0.054903 0.173725 0.481153 1.276716
2025-12-28 0.000679 0.003780 0.015895 0.059162 0.192647 0.545997 1.478374
2026-01-04 0.000608 0.003611 0.015915 0.061534 0.206597 0.600049 1.659876
2026-01-11 0.000512 0.003268 0.015180 0.061229 0.212645 0.634460 1.796661
2026-01-18 0.000432 0.002969 0.014521 0.061029 0.218984 0.670489 1.941727
2026-01-25 0.000363 0.002681 0.013811 0.060473 0.224129 0.703972 2.084077